Could Florence threaten Cape Cod as a hurricane?

08 September, 2018, 17:09 | Author: Bertha Harmon
  • Florence expected to regroup hurricane centers sees ‘increased’ threat to East

The Hurricane Center is predicting that Florence will generate swells that will affect Bermuda by Friday and the U.S. East Coast by the weekend.

As of 11 p.m. ET Friday, Florence's maximum sustained winds were about 60 miles per hour, according to the National Hurricane Center. On the forecast track, the center of Florence will move over the warm waters of the southwestern Atlantic Ocean through Wednesday.

Forecasters in the Baltimore region say any impacts here remain unclear. Foremost among those is Tropical Storm Florence, which is expected to restrengthen into a hurricane next week and looks increasingly likely to hit the East Coast. As Florence's path moves closer to the USA coastline in the next week Florence is expected to regain category three hurricane status.

Once these planes fly into the storm and survey it, our forecast models should show a clearer picture for the storm as it nears the East Coast next week.

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"There is still very large uncertainty in Florence's track beyond Day 5", the National Hurricane Center emphasized, "and it is too soon to determine what, if any, other impacts Florence could have on the U.S. East Coast next week". Florence rapidly intensified into a category 4 hurricane earlier this week and has since weakened thanks to strong wind shear and dry air.

The official forecast calls for strengthening over the weekend and into next week.

Hurricane Olivia had maximum sustained winds of 90 mph, and was approximately 1,370 miles east of Honolulu as of 11 p.m. local time.

The remnants of Tropical Storm Gordon were also dying off Thursday, with the storm downgraded to a depression as it moved inland over Mississippi.

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As forecasters eye Florence, there was the threat of weekend rain around the Triangle. She added that a hurricane landfall is possible for the Lesser Antilles, an island chain in the Caribbean.

Significantly, the average track of the American model simulations, which had suggested the storm was most likely to stay well out to sea, has trended closer to the coastline with time.

Closer to the USA, there's a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms in the western Atlantic that has a low chance of forming into a tropical storm.

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